Although exotic, the USDTRY currency pair is popular in Turkey. However, its share in trading volumes at Forex is small.
That's not a surprise since the quote can move drastically in the short and medium term. The USD versus lira rate is hard to predict as the economic situation in Turkey is unstable. So, the pair is best suited for short-term strategies, such as scalping. To trade successfully in the short term, one will need technical analysis tools. Fundamental analysis of long-term timeframes shows a stable downturn of the trend.
It's worth mentioning that this trading asset will not suit beginners. To make a realistic forecast, one will need to analyze the issuing countries and to have Forex trading experience.
The USA and Turkey represent different financial systems. The US economy is the world's largest and is deeply connected with global processes. Its GDP is mainly composed of exports, industry, and tourism. The American dollar is the most popular currency in the market, and there are many analyses for the USD. The economy of Turkey is an emerging market economy. On the one hand, foreign investment and geographical location stimulate tourism and industry development. On the other hand, a weak monetary policy and sociopolitical instability lead to inflation growth and a weaker lira rate.
The USDTRY rate is subject to traditional macroeconomic factors: GDP, central bank rates, trade balances, inflation rates, and labor stats.
Risk warning: Trading in FX and CFDs entails high risk of losing capital.